Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan

ToyamaHOME · -
75 : 662015.10.04 · 종료
IwateAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsIwate
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 66-63L · 81-66L · 94-74L · 73-68W · 78-89
Iwate
L · 66-63L · 82-75L · 84-68W · 111-57W · 95-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.08 | Toyama | 92 : 61 | Iwate |
| 2016.05.07 | Toyama | 70 : 61 | Iwate |
| 2016.03.27 | Iwate | 66 : 82 | Toyama |
| 2016.03.26 | Iwate | 79 : 71 | Toyama |
| 2015.10.04 | Toyama | 75 : 66 | Iwate |
| 2015.10.03 | Toyama | 66 : 63 | Iwate |
| 2015.03.15 | Iwate | 79 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2015.03.14 | Iwate | 68 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2014.12.21 | Toyama | 74 : 66 | Iwate |
| 2014.12.20 | Toyama | 77 : 73 | Iwate |