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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
75 : 662015.10.04 · 종료
IwateAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsIwate
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 66-63L · 81-66L · 94-74L · 73-68W · 78-89
Iwate
L · 66-63L · 82-75L · 84-68W · 111-57W · 95-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.05.08Toyama92 : 61Iwate
2016.05.07Toyama70 : 61Iwate
2016.03.27Iwate66 : 82Toyama
2016.03.26Iwate79 : 71Toyama
2015.10.04Toyama75 : 66Iwate
2015.10.03Toyama66 : 63Iwate
2015.03.15Iwate79 : 81Toyama
2015.03.14Iwate68 : 81Toyama
2014.12.21Toyama74 : 66Iwate
2014.12.20Toyama77 : 73Iwate