Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B2.League
Japan · B2.League - Quarter-finals
Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -
100 : 702024.05.03 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.8%
VALUE EDGE+74.8%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
146.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
12.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Koshigaya Alphas
W · 82-65L · 72-89L · 83-79L · 87-83W · 75-101
Kumamoto
L · 84-83L · 93-89W · 91-85L · 92-106L · 81-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.04 | Koshigaya Alphas | 108 : 80 | Kumamoto |
| 2024.05.03 | Koshigaya Alphas | 100 : 70 | Kumamoto |
| 2023.12.17 | Kumamoto | 84 : 74 | Koshigaya Alphas |
| 2023.11.12 | Koshigaya Alphas | 95 : 59 | Kumamoto |
| 2023.11.11 | Koshigaya Alphas | 90 : 67 | Kumamoto |