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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B2.League Japan
Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -
76 : 652024.03.15 · 종료
ShizuokaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.5%
VALUE EDGE+75.5%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsShizuoka
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -8.25
146.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.25
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Koshigaya Alphas
W · 76-89L · 84-80L · 69-76W · 87-66L · 85-72
Shizuoka
W · 75-62L · 69-70L · 86-85W · 92-72W · 87-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.16Koshigaya Alphas75 : 77Shizuoka
2024.03.15Koshigaya Alphas76 : 65Shizuoka
2023.11.04Shizuoka74 : 88Koshigaya Alphas