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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B2.League Japan
Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -
81 : 832023.12.24 · 종료
FukushimaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.2%
VALUE EDGE+74.2%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsFukushima
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
146.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Koshigaya Alphas
W · 75-54W · 68-75L · 84-74W · 73-64W · 63-53
Fukushima
L · 75-54L · 67-84W · 74-56L · 67-85W · 85-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.07Fukushima75 : 101Koshigaya Alphas
2024.04.06Fukushima94 : 101Koshigaya Alphas
2024.03.10Fukushima76 : 89Koshigaya Alphas
2024.03.09Fukushima84 : 80Koshigaya Alphas
2023.12.24Koshigaya Alphas81 : 83Fukushima
2023.12.23Koshigaya Alphas75 : 54Fukushima