Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B2.League
Japan
Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -
80 : 812023.12.03 · 종료
Altiri ChibaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsAltiri Chiba
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.83
146.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Koshigaya Alphas
L · 65-68W · 63-90L · 93-89L · 69-77W · 78-69
Altiri Chiba
W · 65-68W · 78-54W · 81-52W · 80-97W · 82-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.12 | Altiri Chiba | 72 : 75 | Koshigaya Alphas |
| 2024.04.14 | Altiri Chiba | 83 : 79 | Koshigaya Alphas |
| 2024.04.13 | Altiri Chiba | 87 : 83 | Koshigaya Alphas |
| 2023.12.03 | Koshigaya Alphas | 80 : 81 | Altiri Chiba |
| 2023.12.02 | Koshigaya Alphas | 65 : 68 | Altiri Chiba |
| 2023.10.22 | Altiri Chiba | 71 : 89 | Koshigaya Alphas |
| 2023.10.21 | Altiri Chiba | 87 : 80 | Koshigaya Alphas |