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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B2.League Japan
Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -
90 : 672023.11.11 · 종료
KumamotoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsKumamoto
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
146.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.42
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Koshigaya Alphas
W · 74-88W · 49-81W · 99-70W · 71-89L · 87-80
Kumamoto
W · 97-89W · 103-73W · 78-71W · 78-70W · 64-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.04Koshigaya Alphas108 : 80Kumamoto
2024.05.03Koshigaya Alphas100 : 70Kumamoto
2023.12.17Kumamoto84 : 74Koshigaya Alphas
2023.11.12Koshigaya Alphas95 : 59Kumamoto
2023.11.11Koshigaya Alphas90 : 67Kumamoto