Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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B2.League Japan

Koshigaya AlphasHOME · -

99 : 702023.10.25 · 종료

NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.9%

VALUE EDGE+68.9%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADES

Koshigaya AlphasAnalysis MetricsNiigata

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25

146.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Koshigaya Alphas

W · 71-89L · 87-80L · 77-81W · 100-95W · 46-80

Niigata

L · 87-67L · 90-70L · 72-70L · 91-75L · 46-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Koshigaya Alphas	122 : 71	Niigata
2024.02.10	Koshigaya Alphas	116 : 70	Niigata
2023.12.20	Niigata	68 : 75	Koshigaya Alphas
2023.10.25	Koshigaya Alphas	99 : 70	Niigata
2023.10.08	Niigata	46 : 80	Koshigaya Alphas
2023.10.07	Niigata	65 : 75	Koshigaya Alphas