Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan · B.League - Quarter-finals
ShimaneHOME · -
72 : 822023.05.13 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.6%
VALUE EDGE+70.6%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsAlvark
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.00
166.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.17
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 86-71W · 64-77W · 62-81W · 87-65L · 74-87
Alvark
L · 86-71L · 63-73L · 92-93L · 94-66L · 89-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.15 | Alvark | 63 : 74 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.03 | Alvark | 90 : 80 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.02 | Alvark | 79 : 87 | Shimane |
| 2023.05.15 | Shimane | 82 : 83 | Alvark |
| 2023.05.13 | Shimane | 72 : 82 | Alvark |
| 2023.05.12 | Shimane | 86 : 71 | Alvark |
| 2023.02.12 | Shimane | 66 : 59 | Alvark |
| 2023.02.11 | Shimane | 77 : 67 | Alvark |