Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
83 : 652023.04.16 · 종료
Nagoya Fighting EaglesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsNagoya Fighting Eagles
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.58
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
L · 80-85W · 69-77L · 73-68W · 75-77W · 81-67
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
W · 80-85L · 80-77L · 61-86L · 65-76L · 65-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.30 | Alvark | 76 : 72 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles |
| 2025.03.29 | Alvark | 64 : 70 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles |
| 2025.03.12 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles | 80 : 68 | Alvark |
| 2024.10.23 | Alvark | 81 : 77 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles |
| 2023.10.22 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles | 49 : 83 | Alvark |
| 2023.10.21 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles | 58 : 72 | Alvark |
| 2023.04.16 | Alvark | 83 : 65 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles |
| 2023.04.15 | Alvark | 80 : 85 | Nagoya Fighting Eagles |