Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
HokkaidoHOME · -
69 : 772023.04.12 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsAlvark
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.00
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.17
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
W · 92-89W · 97-88W · 82-74L · 85-77L · 92-81
Alvark
L · 73-68W · 75-77W · 81-67L · 80-67L · 83-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.26 | Hokkaido | 72 : 78 | Alvark |
| 2024.05.04 | Hokkaido | 78 : 85 | Alvark |
| 2024.05.03 | Hokkaido | 66 : 78 | Alvark |
| 2024.03.27 | Hokkaido | 71 : 98 | Alvark |
| 2023.12.20 | Alvark | 81 : 54 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.04.12 | Hokkaido | 69 : 77 | Alvark |
| 2023.03.26 | Alvark | 70 : 73 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.03.25 | Alvark | 88 : 65 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.01.11 | Alvark | 106 : 88 | Hokkaido |
| 2016.01.31 | Alvark | 93 : 69 | Hokkaido |