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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
NiigataHOME · -
79 : 932023.03.25 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +85.9%
VALUE EDGE+85.9%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsChiba
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-21.25 Point MarginHigher is better -1.17
160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.67
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
14.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
85.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
L · 97-93L · 91-67W · 59-78L · 87-88L · 83-65
Chiba
L · 77-88W · 62-83W · 94-80W · 81-68W · 94-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.26Niigata77 : 96Chiba
2023.03.25Niigata79 : 93Chiba