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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
ChibaHOME · -
81 : 682023.03.08 · 종료
Utsunomiya BrexAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsUtsunomiya Brex
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.17 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83
182.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
W · 94-76W · 96-73W · 82-93W · 75-98W · 72-92
Utsunomiya Brex
L · 90-96W · 99-66L · 64-77W · 101-73W · 54-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.05.19Utsunomiya Brex82 : 71Chiba
2025.05.18Utsunomiya Brex55 : 74Chiba
2025.05.17Utsunomiya Brex84 : 67Chiba
2025.04.16Chiba85 : 79Utsunomiya Brex
2025.01.29Utsunomiya Brex91 : 73Chiba
2024.10.06Chiba80 : 61Utsunomiya Brex
2024.05.11Utsunomiya Brex67 : 58Chiba
2024.05.10Utsunomiya Brex70 : 82Chiba
2024.04.28Chiba74 : 85Utsunomiya Brex
2024.04.27Chiba55 : 82Utsunomiya Brex