Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
90 : 792023.01.28 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME87.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+87.8%
VALUE EDGE+87.8%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsNiigata
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 63-66W · 71-74W · 68-79W · 106-88W · 88-73
Niigata
L · 77-81W · 93-73L · 75-88L · 97-79W · 74-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.29 | Alvark | 67 : 63 | Niigata |
| 2023.01.28 | Alvark | 90 : 79 | Niigata |