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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
69 : 822022.12.28 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +72.7%
VALUE EDGE+72.7%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsAlvark
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-1.83 Point MarginHigher is better +10.00
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.17
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
27.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
72.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 64-68L · 79-67L · 70-66L · 97-86L · 53-71
Alvark
W · 105-74W · 79-68W · 78-74W · 74-66W · 62-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Alvark106 : 71Utsunomiya Brex
2026.10.31Alvark100 : 90Utsunomiya Brex
2025.04.23Utsunomiya Brex61 : 55Alvark
2025.03.05Alvark63 : 61Utsunomiya Brex
2024.04.21Utsunomiya Brex61 : 70Alvark
2024.04.20Utsunomiya Brex80 : 76Alvark
2023.10.15Alvark70 : 71Utsunomiya Brex
2023.10.14Alvark75 : 60Utsunomiya Brex
2023.04.05Alvark81 : 67Utsunomiya Brex
2022.12.28Utsunomiya Brex69 : 82Alvark