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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
105 : 742022.12.25 · 종료
ShigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +85.2%
VALUE EDGE+85.2%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsShiga
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -3.67
172.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.17
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
85.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
14.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 79-68W · 78-74W · 74-66W · 62-83W · 62-58
Shiga
L · 79-68L · 69-83L · 65-72L · 59-68L · 48-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.20Shiga64 : 68Alvark
2025.04.19Shiga56 : 86Alvark
2022.12.25Alvark105 : 74Shiga
2022.12.24Alvark79 : 68Shiga