Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
78 : 742022.12.18 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.3%
VALUE EDGE+75.3%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsToyama
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.83
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 74-66W · 62-83W · 62-58W · 86-70W · 61-82
Toyama
L · 74-66L · 70-93L · 76-82L · 66-77L · 93-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.10 | Toyama | 67 : 92 | Alvark |
| 2023.12.09 | Toyama | 66 : 89 | Alvark |
| 2022.12.18 | Alvark | 78 : 74 | Toyama |
| 2022.12.17 | Alvark | 74 : 66 | Toyama |