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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
86 : 762022.10.15 · 종료
GunmaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.1%
VALUE EDGE+73.1%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsGunma
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+10.00 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42
172.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.25
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
L · 77-82W · 78-66L · 79-67W · 61-66L · 79-84
Gunma
W · 63-71L · 80-55W · 92-71W · 88-80L · 56-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.17Gunma86 : 100Alvark
2024.12.29Gunma80 : 73Alvark
2024.12.28Gunma74 : 62Alvark
2024.04.28Alvark80 : 64Gunma
2024.03.20Gunma87 : 89Alvark
2023.12.06Alvark82 : 91Gunma
2023.04.19Alvark91 : 73Gunma
2023.01.18Gunma68 : 79Alvark
2022.10.16Alvark82 : 84Gunma
2022.10.15Alvark86 : 76Gunma