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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
77 : 822022.10.08 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsChiba
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.17
172.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.67
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 78-66L · 79-67W · 61-66L · 79-84L · 67-69
Chiba
L · 78-66W · 89-88W · 77-67W · 73-83W · 83-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.04Chiba71 : 96Alvark
2025.05.11Alvark65 : 92Chiba
2025.05.10Alvark53 : 78Chiba
2025.04.06Alvark75 : 72Chiba
2025.04.05Alvark86 : 81Chiba
2024.04.17Alvark78 : 67Chiba
2024.03.24Alvark69 : 70Chiba
2024.03.23Alvark81 : 62Chiba
2024.01.31Chiba75 : 74Alvark
2023.05.21Chiba93 : 62Alvark