Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan · B.League - Quarter-finals
AlvarkHOME · -
57 : 582024.05.13 · 종료
RyukyuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsRyukyu
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.25
176.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 73-69W · 78-85W · 66-78W · 80-64W · 61-70
Ryukyu
L · 73-69W · 80-89L · 69-59L · 86-79L · 83-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.23 | Alvark | 74 : 85 | Ryukyu |
| 2026.09.22 | Alvark | 84 : 73 | Ryukyu |
| 2025.02.02 | Alvark | 58 : 83 | Ryukyu |
| 2025.02.01 | Alvark | 87 : 67 | Ryukyu |
| 2024.05.13 | Alvark | 57 : 58 | Ryukyu |
| 2024.05.11 | Alvark | 73 : 69 | Ryukyu |
| 2024.02.04 | Alvark | 74 : 76 | Ryukyu |
| 2023.01.01 | Ryukyu | 82 : 71 | Alvark |
| 2022.12.31 | Ryukyu | 74 : 82 | Alvark |