Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
84 : 662024.04.28 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsOsaka
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.00
161.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
L · 85-87W · 84-91L · 98-67W · 89-78W · 73-80
Osaka
W · 85-87L · 83-71L · 91-77W · 92-76L · 83-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.04 | Osaka | 76 : 85 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.05.03 | Osaka | 72 : 89 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.12 | Osaka | 70 : 83 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.10.23 | Nagasaki | 81 : 79 | Osaka |
| 2024.04.28 | Nagasaki | 84 : 66 | Osaka |
| 2024.04.27 | Nagasaki | 85 : 87 | Osaka |
| 2023.12.24 | Osaka | 90 : 72 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.12.23 | Osaka | 97 : 95 | Nagasaki |