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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
89 : 642024.04.27 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.6%
VALUE EDGE+86.6%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsToyama
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.75 Point MarginHigher is better -4.92
165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
L · 66-63L · 92-87W · 95-75W · 92-99W · 82-90
Toyama
L · 73-74L · 62-71L · 59-63L · 83-65L · 84-46

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.28NeoPhoenix103 : 80Toyama
2024.04.27NeoPhoenix89 : 64Toyama
2024.04.10Toyama62 : 96NeoPhoenix
2024.01.17NeoPhoenix95 : 83Toyama
2023.04.19Toyama94 : 105NeoPhoenix
2023.04.02NeoPhoenix66 : 81Toyama
2023.04.01NeoPhoenix79 : 73Toyama
2023.01.18NeoPhoenix102 : 92Toyama
2014.11.09Toyama66 : 76NeoPhoenix
2014.11.08Toyama81 : 77NeoPhoenix