Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
KyotoHOME · -
82 : 782024.04.10 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
KyotoAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
163.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.08
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation11.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kyoto
L · 88-81L · 91-83L · 81-66L · 64-56L · 83-90
Nagasaki
W · 65-86L · 88-85W · 74-67L · 68-76L · 102-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Kyoto | 90 : 65 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.04.27 | Nagasaki | 66 : 79 | Kyoto |
| 2025.04.26 | Nagasaki | 71 : 87 | Kyoto |
| 2025.03.23 | Kyoto | 63 : 84 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.22 | Kyoto | 88 : 68 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.05.05 | Kyoto | 65 : 82 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.10 | Kyoto | 82 : 78 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.01.17 | Nagasaki | 75 : 81 | Kyoto |