Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

B League Japan

HokkaidoHOME · -

65 : 862024.04.07 · 종료

NagasakiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.1%

VALUE EDGE+51.1%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsNagasaki

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.25

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.08

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.5 / 15

Prediction separation0.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hokkaido

W · 88-85L · 98-90L · 96-74L · 71-98L · 98-107

Nagasaki

L · 88-85W · 74-67L · 68-76L · 102-69W · 76-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.10.13	Hokkaido	70 : 79	Nagasaki
2024.10.12	Hokkaido	59 : 68	Nagasaki
2024.04.07	Hokkaido	65 : 86	Nagasaki
2024.04.06	Hokkaido	88 : 85	Nagasaki