Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
74 : 672024.03.30 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsShimane
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
161.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.92
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
L · 68-76L · 102-69W · 76-90L · 71-80W · 94-82
Shimane
L · 64-66W · 75-97W · 76-82W · 91-103W · 97-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.25 | Nagasaki | 78 : 85 | Shimane |
| 2026.09.23 | Nagasaki | 64 : 89 | Shimane |
| 2025.04.09 | Shimane | 72 : 63 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.02.02 | Nagasaki | 96 : 74 | Shimane |
| 2025.02.01 | Nagasaki | 69 : 78 | Shimane |
| 2024.12.18 | Nagasaki | 77 : 73 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.30 | Nagasaki | 74 : 67 | Shimane |
| 2024.02.07 | Shimane | 92 : 99 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.10.25 | Nagasaki | 77 : 73 | Shimane |