Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
90 : 802024.03.03 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsShimane
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+11.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
174.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
L · 79-87W · 72-94L · 93-74W · 68-77L · 74-76
Shimane
W · 79-87W · 66-60L · 63-68L · 92-99L · 85-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.15 | Alvark | 63 : 74 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.03 | Alvark | 90 : 80 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.02 | Alvark | 79 : 87 | Shimane |
| 2023.05.15 | Shimane | 82 : 83 | Alvark |
| 2023.05.13 | Shimane | 72 : 82 | Alvark |
| 2023.05.12 | Shimane | 86 : 71 | Alvark |
| 2023.02.12 | Shimane | 66 : 59 | Alvark |
| 2023.02.11 | Shimane | 77 : 67 | Alvark |