Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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B League Japan

Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -

97 : 762024.02.11 · 종료

NagasakiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.7%

VALUE EDGE+78.7%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEB

Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsNagasaki

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33

167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.50

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Utsunomiya Brex

W · 101-81W · 44-73W · 81-69W · 81-80W · 52-82

Nagasaki

L · 101-81W · 92-99L · 76-91W · 74-85L · 68-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.03.30	Nagasaki	77 : 65	Utsunomiya Brex
2025.03.29	Nagasaki	70 : 83	Utsunomiya Brex
2024.02.11	Utsunomiya Brex	97 : 76	Nagasaki
2024.02.10	Utsunomiya Brex	101 : 81	Nagasaki