Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
101 : 812024.02.10 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 44-73W · 81-69W · 81-80W · 52-82W · 76-62
Nagasaki
W · 92-99L · 76-91W · 74-85L · 68-103L · 75-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.30 | Nagasaki | 77 : 65 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2025.03.29 | Nagasaki | 70 : 83 | Utsunomiya Brex |
| 2024.02.11 | Utsunomiya Brex | 97 : 76 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.02.10 | Utsunomiya Brex | 101 : 81 | Nagasaki |