Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
Hiroshima D.HOME · -
74 : 852024.01.31 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADES
Hiroshima D.Analysis MetricsNagasaki
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hiroshima D.
W · 74-95W · 53-89W · 88-77L · 65-71L · 75-66
Nagasaki
L · 68-103L · 75-98L · 88-79L · 78-71L · 75-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.06 | Hiroshima D. | 80 : 73 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.26 | Nagasaki | 77 : 78 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2025.01.11 | Hiroshima D. | 82 : 70 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.01.10 | Hiroshima D. | 78 : 71 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.12.11 | Hiroshima D. | 88 : 82 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.17 | Nagasaki | 89 : 78 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2024.01.31 | Hiroshima D. | 74 : 85 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.12.31 | Nagasaki | 68 : 86 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.12.30 | Nagasaki | 64 : 79 | Hiroshima D. |