Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

B League Japan

AlvarkHOME · -

83 : 812024.01.28 · 종료

OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY13.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 89.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +86.6%

VALUE EDGE+86.6%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADES

AlvarkAnalysis MetricsOsaka

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%

+11.33 Point MarginHigher is better -26.00

174.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.17

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

86.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

13.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Alvark

W · 77-68W · 63-81W · 57-87W · 92-72W · 99-76

Osaka

L · 77-68L · 91-97W · 100-89L · 69-91L · 81-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.12	Osaka	78 : 103	Alvark
2025.04.13	Alvark	82 : 47	Osaka
2025.04.12	Alvark	66 : 68	Osaka
2024.01.28	Alvark	83 : 81	Osaka
2024.01.27	Alvark	77 : 68	Osaka
2023.02.05	Alvark	68 : 61	Osaka
2023.02.04	Alvark	74 : 66	Osaka