Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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B League Japan

NagasakiHOME · -

68 : 1032024.01.28 · 종료

NeoPhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY79.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +79.9%

VALUE EDGE+79.9%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEA

NagasakiAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-1.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.75

166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.42

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 70.0%

0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

20.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

79.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nagasaki

L · 75-98L · 88-79L · 78-71L · 75-81W · 92-64

NeoPhoenix

W · 75-98W · 90-62W · 79-66W · 95-83W · 74-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.06	NeoPhoenix	79 : 76	Nagasaki
2025.04.05	NeoPhoenix	95 : 65	Nagasaki
2024.01.28	Nagasaki	68 : 103	NeoPhoenix
2024.01.27	Nagasaki	75 : 98	NeoPhoenix