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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
Utsunomiya BrexHOME · -
83 : 702024.01.27 · 종료
SagaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Utsunomiya BrexAnalysis MetricsSaga
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -16.42
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.25
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utsunomiya Brex
W · 68-74L · 68-66W · 81-93W · 81-53W · 98-82
Saga
W · 74-63W · 81-72W · 69-91W · 56-66W · 67-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.05Saga51 : 81Utsunomiya Brex
2025.01.04Saga80 : 98Utsunomiya Brex
2024.01.28Utsunomiya Brex76 : 62Saga
2024.01.27Utsunomiya Brex83 : 70Saga