Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
ChibaHOME · -
89 : 822024.01.21 · 종료
HokkaidoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
ChibaAnalysis MetricsHokkaido
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
179.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chiba
W · 98-79W · 105-73W · 115-98W · 76-83W · 83-99
Hokkaido
L · 98-79W · 66-84L · 92-61L · 74-73W · 88-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.20 | Hokkaido | 81 : 108 | Chiba |
| 2025.04.19 | Hokkaido | 81 : 88 | Chiba |
| 2025.01.05 | Chiba | 64 : 70 | Hokkaido |
| 2025.01.04 | Chiba | 75 : 67 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.02.07 | Chiba | 77 : 58 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.21 | Chiba | 89 : 82 | Hokkaido |
| 2024.01.20 | Chiba | 98 : 79 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.10.25 | Hokkaido | 77 : 82 | Chiba |
| 2023.04.16 | Chiba | 80 : 54 | Hokkaido |
| 2023.04.15 | Chiba | 96 : 71 | Hokkaido |