Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
75 : 812024.01.17 · 종료
KyotoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsKyoto
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.08
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
10.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
W · 92-64L · 73-79L · 68-86L · 64-79L · 90-72
Kyoto
L · 76-83L · 83-99L · 109-101W · 71-88L · 77-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | Kyoto | 90 : 65 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.04.27 | Nagasaki | 66 : 79 | Kyoto |
| 2025.04.26 | Nagasaki | 71 : 87 | Kyoto |
| 2025.03.23 | Kyoto | 63 : 84 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.22 | Kyoto | 88 : 68 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.05.05 | Kyoto | 65 : 82 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.10 | Kyoto | 82 : 78 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.01.17 | Nagasaki | 75 : 81 | Kyoto |