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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
AlvarkHOME · -
99 : 762024.01.07 · 종료
Brave ThundersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsBrave Thunders
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+11.33 Point MarginHigher is better -2.25
174.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.75
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 94-79W · 61-94W · 68-74L · 59-82W · 83-68
Brave Thunders
L · 94-79W · 77-55W · 83-77L · 84-67W · 77-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10Brave Thunders82 : 94Alvark
2025.04.27Alvark84 : 80Brave Thunders
2025.04.26Alvark80 : 67Brave Thunders
2024.12.01Brave Thunders62 : 80Alvark
2024.11.30Brave Thunders66 : 88Alvark
2024.01.07Alvark99 : 76Brave Thunders
2024.01.06Alvark94 : 79Brave Thunders
2023.01.08Alvark88 : 73Brave Thunders
2023.01.07Alvark75 : 64Brave Thunders
2016.03.12Brave Thunders58 : 78Alvark