Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
73 : 792024.01.06 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEB
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsShinshu
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
L · 68-86L · 64-79L · 90-72L · 97-95W · 74-76
Shinshu
L · 55-77L · 59-73L · 96-55L · 83-53L · 81-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.08 | Nagasaki | 74 : 71 | Shinshu |
| 2024.01.07 | Nagasaki | 92 : 64 | Shinshu |
| 2024.01.06 | Nagasaki | 73 : 79 | Shinshu |