Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

B League Japan

SagaHOME · -

61 : 942023.12.30 · 종료

AlvarkAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY71.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 72.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +71.7%

VALUE EDGE+71.7%

FAIR ODDS1.40

GRADES

SagaAnalysis MetricsAlvark

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-16.42 Point MarginHigher is better +11.33

174.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.33

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

28.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

71.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Saga

L · 68-74W · 102-63W · 87-54W · 80-77L · 108-77

Alvark

W · 68-74L · 59-82W · 83-68W · 81-54W · 84-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.26	Saga	88 : 112	Alvark
2026.10.08	Alvark	90 : 74	Saga
2024.10.27	Alvark	79 : 66	Saga
2024.10.26	Alvark	79 : 74	Saga
2023.12.30	Saga	61 : 94	Alvark
2023.12.29	Saga	68 : 74	Alvark