Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
SagaHOME · -
68 : 742023.12.29 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.9%
VALUE EDGE+70.9%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADES
SagaAnalysis MetricsAlvark
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-16.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.33
174.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.33
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saga
W · 102-63W · 87-54W · 80-77L · 108-77L · 105-95
Alvark
L · 59-82W · 83-68W · 81-54W · 84-94W · 62-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.26 | Saga | 88 : 112 | Alvark |
| 2026.10.08 | Alvark | 90 : 74 | Saga |
| 2024.10.27 | Alvark | 79 : 66 | Saga |
| 2024.10.26 | Alvark | 79 : 74 | Saga |
| 2023.12.30 | Saga | 61 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2023.12.29 | Saga | 68 : 74 | Alvark |