Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan

OsakaHOME · -
90 : 722023.12.24 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
OsakaAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-26.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
158.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osaka
W · 97-95L · 80-56W · 65-63L · 65-78L · 77-65
Nagasaki
L · 97-95W · 74-76L · 84-94L · 62-71W · 72-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.04 | Osaka | 76 : 85 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.05.03 | Osaka | 72 : 89 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.12 | Osaka | 70 : 83 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.10.23 | Nagasaki | 81 : 79 | Osaka |
| 2024.04.28 | Nagasaki | 84 : 66 | Osaka |
| 2024.04.27 | Nagasaki | 85 : 87 | Osaka |
| 2023.12.24 | Osaka | 90 : 72 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.12.23 | Osaka | 97 : 95 | Nagasaki |