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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
OsakaHOME · -
97 : 952023.12.23 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
OsakaAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-26.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33
158.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.50
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osaka
L · 80-56W · 65-63L · 65-78L · 77-65L · 79-56
Nagasaki
W · 74-76L · 84-94L · 62-71W · 72-67L · 71-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.05.04Osaka76 : 85Nagasaki
2025.05.03Osaka72 : 89Nagasaki
2025.03.12Osaka70 : 83Nagasaki
2024.10.23Nagasaki81 : 79Osaka
2024.04.28Nagasaki84 : 66Osaka
2024.04.27Nagasaki85 : 87Osaka
2023.12.24Osaka90 : 72Nagasaki
2023.12.23Osaka97 : 95Nagasaki