Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
RyukyuHOME · -
74 : 762023.12.20 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
W · 76-71W · 80-73W · 83-79W · 83-81W · 73-76
Nagasaki
L · 84-94L · 62-71W · 72-67L · 71-84W · 81-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.26 | Nagasaki | 101 : 84 | Ryukyu |
| 2025.04.20 | Ryukyu | 87 : 66 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.04.19 | Ryukyu | 90 : 80 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.03.02 | Nagasaki | 89 : 85 | Ryukyu |
| 2025.03.01 | Nagasaki | 74 : 93 | Ryukyu |
| 2024.04.21 | Ryukyu | 84 : 91 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.20 | Ryukyu | 98 : 67 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.03.27 | Nagasaki | 68 : 76 | Ryukyu |
| 2023.12.20 | Ryukyu | 74 : 76 | Nagasaki |