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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
SagaHOME · -
80 : 772023.12.20 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
SagaAnalysis MetricsShimane
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92
174.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.42
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saga
L · 108-77L · 105-95W · 81-68W · 74-72L · 81-91
Shimane
W · 97-79W · 95-67W · 75-106L · 85-70W · 93-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.19Saga66 : 82Shimane
2025.04.18Saga80 : 61Shimane
2025.03.26Saga87 : 73Shimane
2024.12.11Shimane85 : 55Saga
2024.03.27Shimane64 : 66Saga
2023.12.20Saga80 : 77Shimane
2023.10.22Shimane61 : 58Saga
2023.10.21Shimane87 : 74Saga