Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
84 : 942023.12.17 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsAlvark
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.33
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
L · 62-71W · 72-67L · 71-84W · 81-91W · 92-85
Alvark
W · 62-71W · 67-92W · 66-89L · 82-91L · 61-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.07 | Nagasaki | 52 : 89 | Alvark |
| 2023.12.17 | Nagasaki | 84 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2023.12.16 | Nagasaki | 62 : 71 | Alvark |