Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
SagaHOME · -
81 : 912023.12.06 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADES
SagaAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
174.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saga
W · 45-79W · 79-84L · 78-72W · 76-95L · 80-61
Nagasaki
W · 92-85W · 81-86L · 94-70L · 101-97L · 92-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | Saga | 66 : 84 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.04.23 | Nagasaki | 68 : 78 | Saga |
| 2025.03.05 | Saga | 86 : 92 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.12.02 | Saga | 78 : 93 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.12.01 | Saga | 80 : 51 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.14 | Saga | 73 : 80 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.04.13 | Saga | 61 : 63 | Nagasaki |
| 2024.03.20 | Nagasaki | 71 : 80 | Saga |
| 2023.12.06 | Saga | 81 : 91 | Nagasaki |