Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
92 : 852023.12.03 · 종료
Brave ThundersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEB
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsBrave Thunders
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.25
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
W · 81-86L · 94-70L · 101-97L · 92-88W · 81-98
Brave Thunders
W · 71-61W · 84-63W · 75-59W · 81-85W · 69-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.26 | Nagasaki | 78 : 83 | Brave Thunders |
| 2025.01.25 | Nagasaki | 76 : 80 | Brave Thunders |
| 2023.12.03 | Nagasaki | 92 : 85 | Brave Thunders |