Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

B League Japan

ChibaHOME · -

76 : 952023.11.11 · 종료

SagaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.6%

VALUE EDGE+62.6%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEA

ChibaAnalysis MetricsSaga

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -16.42

181.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.25

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

2.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.5 / 15

Prediction separation10.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Chiba

W · 78-86W · 101-90L · 83-88W · 66-75L · 73-88

Saga

L · 80-61W · 70-64L · 65-66W · 68-74W · 59-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.08	Saga	103 : 111	Chiba
2025.03.12	Chiba	85 : 71	Saga
2024.10.23	Saga	74 : 79	Chiba
2023.11.12	Chiba	78 : 72	Saga
2023.11.11	Chiba	76 : 95	Saga