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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
Diamond DolphinsHOME · -
101 : 972023.11.08 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Diamond DolphinsAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+15.92 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33
166.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Dolphins
W · 78-94L · 76-67L · 67-70L · 68-90W · 93-89
Nagasaki
L · 92-88W · 81-98W · 81-76L · 82-97W · 77-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.11.03Nagasaki74 : 83Diamond Dolphins
2024.11.02Nagasaki87 : 68Diamond Dolphins
2024.03.06Nagasaki94 : 82Diamond Dolphins
2024.02.03Nagasaki76 : 91Diamond Dolphins
2023.11.08Diamond Dolphins101 : 97Nagasaki