Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan

NagasakiHOME · -
82 : 972023.10.28 · 종료
SeaHorses MikawaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsSeaHorses Mikawa
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.25
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
W · 77-73W · 74-91L · 85-78W · 83-94W · 84-96
SeaHorses Mikawa
W · 59-90W · 78-56W · 84-65L · 82-93L · 85-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.13 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 83 : 78 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.10.29 | Nagasaki | 81 : 76 | SeaHorses Mikawa |
| 2023.10.28 | Nagasaki | 82 : 97 | SeaHorses Mikawa |