Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
77 : 732023.10.25 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsShimane
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
W · 74-91L · 85-78W · 83-94W · 84-96W · 89-86
Shimane
W · 61-58W · 87-74W · 65-85L · 74-80W · 76-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.25 | Nagasaki | 78 : 85 | Shimane |
| 2026.09.23 | Nagasaki | 64 : 89 | Shimane |
| 2025.04.09 | Shimane | 72 : 63 | Nagasaki |
| 2025.02.02 | Nagasaki | 96 : 74 | Shimane |
| 2025.02.01 | Nagasaki | 69 : 78 | Shimane |
| 2024.12.18 | Nagasaki | 77 : 73 | Shimane |
| 2024.03.30 | Nagasaki | 74 : 67 | Shimane |
| 2024.02.07 | Shimane | 92 : 99 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.10.25 | Nagasaki | 77 : 73 | Shimane |