Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
B League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
84 : 962023.10.14 · 종료
NagasakiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsNagasaki
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
L · 86-77L · 93-73W · 81-84W · 89-95L · 79-100
Nagasaki
W · 89-86W · 91-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.10.15 | Toyama | 83 : 94 | Nagasaki |
| 2023.10.14 | Toyama | 84 : 96 | Nagasaki |